The latest MP Panel uncovers a representative sample of MPs about their predictions for the year ahead. MPs were asked to give their predictions in January, and results came through before the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic. The following is what MPs predicted would happen before the end of 2020:
- The majority of MPs (83%) said they believed Donald Trump would be elected for a second term as US President
- 62% thought Sadiq Khan would be elected for a second term as London Mayor
- Half of all MPs (50%) thought the Secretary of State for Transport would grant final approval to expand Heathrow Airport
- 44% thought armed conflict will increase in the Middle East
- 35% of MPs thought the latest James Bond film No Time To Die would be the highest grossing film of the year globally
- Over a quarter (30%) of those asked thought climate change would be the most important issue to the British public this year
- Based on the number of gold medals won at previous Olympic games, 19% of MPs predicted that Team GB would again come second at this summer’s Tokyo 2020 Games
- 8% of MPs thought a date would be agreed upon for a second referendum for Scottish Independence
- At this summer’s Euro 2020 football championships 7% of MPs predicted Harry Kane would win the Golden Boot
- Only 6% of MPs thought former home secretary Alan Johnson would release a Christmas album, following his appearance on the TV show The Masked Singer
As we now know, many of these events have either been cancelled or postponed due to the spread of Covid-19. We will monitor the panel throughout the year to assess the effect the coronavirus has had on MPs’ views.
Populus regularly interviews over 100 MPs from across the political spectrum about a range of topics. It enables businesses in all sectors to measure what key stakeholder audiences think of major issues that confront their industry, explore the attitudes of these influential groups towards the issues that companies face, and test the effectiveness of key messages. Find out more about the MP Panel here.
Populus interviewed 100 MPs between 10th January and 21st February 2020 online or by self-completion postal questionnaire. Results were weighted in order to ensure the sample was representative of the party composition of the House of Commons.
Populus is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. For more information see www.populus.co.uk