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Political Attitudes

Fieldwork: December 8th 2006 - December 10th 2006

published by The Times

Voting Intention

(Change on previous poll in brackets)

Labour33%(-)
Conservative34%(-2%)
Lib Dem19%(-1%)
Other14%(+3%)

Brown v. Cameron & Campbell

Now I'd like you to think ahead to the next election, expected in 3 or 4 years' time. Imagine that the Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown takes over from Tony Blair as Labour leader and the Conservatives are led by David Cameron and the Liberal Democrats by Ming Campbell. Which party would you vote for – or would you vote for another party or not vote at all?

[NB: These figures are past vote and turnout weighted]

Thinking ahead to the next electionLabour led by Gordon BrownConservatives led by David CameronLib Dems led by Ming CampbellAnother party
November 200537%35%20%9%
December 200535%41%20%4%
May 200631%41%18%9%
July 200633%42%16%9%
September 200633%42%16%9%
October 200634%42%15%9%
November 200634%38%19%9%
December 200632%39%18%10%

Gordon Brown

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

[Change since December 2005 in brackets]

 AllMenWomenLabourToryLib Dem
Britain 's economy is doing well - largely because of Gordon Brown's policies & decisions25%
(+1%)
26%
(-1%)
23%
(+1%)
46%
(+9%)
12%
(-2%)
18%
(-13%)
Britain 's economy is doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policies & decisions26%
(+3%)
29%
(+2%)
23%
(+3%)
21%
(-3%)
34%
(+7%)
36%
(+12%)
Britain 's economy is not doing well - largely because of Gordon Brown's policies & decisions22%
(+4%)
21%
(+1%)
22%
(+5%)
13%
(+6%
34%
(-6%)
19%
(+5%)
Britain 's economy is not doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policies & decisions18%
(+1%)
16%
(+1%)
21%
(+1%)
16%
(-1%)
15%
(+2%)
18%
(-)
 ABC1C2DE
Britain 's economy is doing well - largely because of Gordon Brown's policies & decisions25%
(-6%)
24%
(+1%)
25%
(+3%)
24%
(+2%)
Britain 's economy is doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policies & decisions30%
(+6%)
32%
(+9%)
18%
(-8%)
21%
(-)
Britain 's economy is not doing well - largely because of Gordon Brown's policies & decisions24%
(+4%)
21%
(+%)
19%
(-)
22%
(-5%)
Britain 's economy is not doing well & that is not much to do with Gordon Brown's policies & decisions12%
(-1%)
18%
(-4%)
25%
(+8%)
19%
(+2%)
 AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Britain 's economy is doing well51%55%46%67%46%54%55%56%43%45%
Britain 's economy is not doing well40%37%43%29%49%37%36%39%44%41%
Net 'doing well'9%18%3%38%-3%17%19%17%-1%4%
 AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
The state of the economy is largely because of Gordon Brown47%47%46%59%46%37%49%45%44%46%
The state of the economy is not much to do with Gordon Brown44%45%44%37%49%54%42%50%43%40%
Net 'because of Gordon Brown'3%2%2%18%-3%-17%7%-5%1%6%

Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

 
AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Gordon Brown has been a good Chancellor of the Exchequer and I think he will be a good Prime Minister34%33%35%67%12%32%29%35%40%34%
Gordon Brown has not been a good Chancellor of the Exchequer and I don't think he will be a good Prime Minister26%29%24%6%50%23%31%27%22%24%
Gordon Brown has been a good Chancellor of the Exchequer but I don't think he will be a good Prime Minister23%22%25%14%27%36%28%21%22%23%
Gordon Brown has not been a good Chancellor of the Exchequer but I think he will be a good Prime Minister6%6%6%10%5%0%6%8%6%4%
 AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Gordon Brown has been a good Chancellor57%55%60%81%39%68%57%56%62%57%
Gordon Brown will be a good Prime Minister40%39%41%77%17%32%35%43%46%38%

David Cameron

Last week marked the first anniversary of David Cameron's election as leader of the Conservative Party. I am going to read out some things that he pledged, on the day that he was elected last December, to strive for as Conservative leader. Please say in each case if you think he has or has not made real progress towards achieving each of these pledges.

“Change the scandalous under-representation of women in the Conservative Party”

 AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Has made real progress26%28%23%24%39%33%31%20%29%24%
Has NOT made real progress56%54%58%57%52%53%52%63%50%58%
NET: 'made progress'-30%-26%-35%-33%-13%-20%-21%-43%21%-34%

“Put a stop to the Punch and Judy politics of Westminster: the name calling, backbiting, point scoring and finger pointing”

 AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Has made real progress21%22%20%19%37%20%23%16%25%22%
Has NOT made real progress66%68%64%72%58%69%64%72%59%67%
NET: 'made progress'-45%-46%-44%-53%-21%-49%-41%-56%-34%-45%

“To make the Conservative Party a voice for hope, for optimism and for change”

 
AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Has made real progress40%44%36%25%72%47%44%38%42%37%
Has NOT made real progress51%50%51%67%27%47%50%53%48%50%
NET: 'made progress'-11%-6%-15%-42%45%0%-6%-15%-6%-13%

“Build a modern, compassionate Conservative Party”

 

AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Has made real progress37%41%33%30%65%39%44%33%38%35%
Has NOT made real progress51%51%52%62%31%50%45%56%50%53%
NET: 'made progress'-14%-10%-19%-32%34%-11%-1%-23%-12%-18%

The Political Parties

I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, please say in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of (rotate order) the Labour Party/the Conservative Party/the Liberal Democrats

(Change since September 2006 party conference poll in brackets)

Characteristics of the parties (% saying TRUE)LabourConservativeLib Dem
Has a good team of leaders42% (+11%)39% (-2%)33% (+1%)
Understands the way people live their lives in today's Britain39% (+4%)33% (-2%)45% (+2%)
Shares my values38% (+8%)33% (-5%)42% (+4%)
Is honest and principled31% (+8%)34% (+3%)41% (-)
Is competent and capable45% (+9%)43% (+2%)35% (+3%)
Cares about the problems ordinary people have to deal with45% (+5%)35% (-1%)50% (-)
Is for the many, not just the few53% (+6%)35% (+1%)49% (-)
Is a united party30% (+16%)46% (-3%)50% (+4%)

Trident Replacement

This week the Government announced the decision to replace Trident, Britain's submarine-based nuclear deterrent, with a similar system that will last until 2050. Which of the following statements comes closest to your view?

 AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Britain should continue to have a nuclear deterrent as long as other countries have nuclear weapons, so I support the decision to replace Trident52%64%41%45%64%52%50%57%57%46%
I supported Britain having a nuclear deterrent in the past, but now the potential threat to our security is posed by terrorist groups and rogue states, rather than nuclear-armed superpowers, it is no longer necessary for us to have nuclear weapons so I oppose the decision to replace Trident20%19%20%2219%20%20%20%16%22%
I have never supported Britain having a nuclear deterrent and I oppose the decision to replace Trident23%14%32%25%16%23%24%21%23%24%
 AllMenWomenLabConLDABC1C2DE
Support decision to replace Trident52%64%41%45%64%52%50%57%57%46%
Oppose decision to replace Trident43%33%52%47%35%43%44%41%39%46%
Net support decision to replace Trident9%31%-11%-2%29%9%6%16%18%0%
.